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Let
me say loud and clear that card counting is hard and is not
as rewarding as television and the movies make it out to be.
If it were an easy way to make money everyone would be doing
it.
If you do not know the basic
blackjack strategy trying to count cards is highly ill-advised. Experienced
card counters still play by the basic strategy the great majority of the time.
There can be no short cut around learning the basic strategy, those who attempt
card counting without a firm foundation in the basic strategy are making a big
mistake.
To be a successful counter you have to be able to count down a deck fast and
memorize large tables of numbers as well as make it look like you're just a casual
player. Furthermore, with today's rules, a realistic advantage the counter will
have is only 0.5% to 1.5%. You will not win money slowly and gradually but your
bankroll will go up and down like a roller coaster in the short run. Only in
the long run over hundreds of hours of playing can you count on winning.
The underlying principle behind card counting is that a deck rich is tens
and aces is good for the player, a deck rich in small cards is good for the dealer.
The reason for this is complicated but to give just two examples: (1) Blackjacks
are more common in ten and ace rich decks, which benefit the player more than
the dealer. (2) The probability of busting a stiff hand is greater. The dealer
is forced to hit a stiff hand and the player is not.
To gauge the richness of the deck in good cards the player will keep track of
the cards the are already played. Strategies vary but all assign a point value
to each card. For example the Ken Uston's Plus/Minus strategy assigns
a value of +1 to 3, 4, 5, 6 and 7, and -1 to tens and aces. Everything else is
0, or neutral. At the beginning of a deck or shoe the count is 0. Then the counter
constantly adds and subtracts from the count according to the cards played. This
running total is called the "running count." A positive count
means that a disproportional number of small cards have already been played which
means the deck is rich in large cards. To determine the "true count" divide
the running count by the number of decks left to be played, or in some strategies
the number of half decks. This will tell you the relative richness of the deck
in good cards.
The true count is used in two ways, to determine how much to bet and how
to play your hand. Unless it is obvious every situation has a line in which you
should play one way if the count is above the line and another if below. For
example a 12 against a 6 may dictate that you stand if the true count is +1 or
greater and hit if the true count is less than +1. The counter will also bet
more when the deck is rich in good cards.
A problem arises when it comes to treating aces. The player should bet
more when the deck is rich in aces since they add to the probability of getting
a blackjack. However, when it comes to playing your hand the number of aces left
is not nearly as important as the number of tens, so it is desirable, but not
necessary, to distinguish between tens and aces. Some card counting strategies
keep a side count of aces. In the Hi-Opt I and Revere Plus/Minus aces
are counted separately and only considered when making the wager. This is a more
accurate and powerful way to play than assigning a negative value to aces and
not keeping a side count, as some strategies do. Yet many people feel that for
the beginner it is too confusing to keep two counts. A player is more likely
to make mistakes keeping two counts and that costs money. The efficiency of a
strategy that does not keep a side count of aces is only modestly less but you
likely will gain more from fewer mistakes made. Different experts fall in various
places in the spectrum in terms of what to recommend for the beginner. The
Zen Count takes the middle ground and gives aces a value of -1 and tens -2.
Personally I have tried both and would recommend against a count that requires
a side count of aces to a person ready to take up card counting. The Uston
Advanced Plus/Minus is a good strategy that does not involve an ace side
count and can be found in the book Million Dollar Blackjack. How well you know
a counting strategy is much more important that which strategy you know.
Legally speaking the player may play blackjack any way he wants without
cheating or using a computer, and the casinos may do anything from making conditions
unfavorable to barring in an effort to stop anyone who they deem has an advantage
over the game. Much of the challenge of card counting is avoiding suspicion that
you are anything but a normal non-counting player. The most obvious indication
that somebody is counting is that they make a substantial increase in bet size
after a lot of small cards leave the table. Although the greater the factor by
which you can increase your bet the greater your odds of winning, more than doubling
your last bet is a fast way to arouse "heat" from the dealer and pit
boss. Usually when casinos do realize you are counting they will either shuffle
the cards whenever you increase your bet, essentially removing any advantage,
or ask you to leave.
Most online casinos
shuffle after every hand, especially in single deck. However just
the cards on the table can be enough to deviate a bit from the
basic strategy sometimes. Personaly I just use the basic blackjack strategy. - remember to print out a free
copy of our basic strategy blackjack chart.
Remember
your basic blackjack strategy and
good luck with the card counting.
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